H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy New Orleans Prison ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now recommending that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and exceptionally effective typhoon that triggered massive destruction and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy should spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a typhoon that could bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists previously warned cyclones might form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major threats and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy